Wait...
Search Global Export Import Trade Data
Recent Searches: No Recent Searches

Inflation could surge to 12% on second stimulus, says Rabobank.


Date: 22-07-2020
Subject: Inflation could surge to 12% on second stimulus, says Rabobank
India can expect inflation to surge to more than double the central bank’s target and the currency could lose a quarter of its value if the Reserve Bank of India begins printing money to fund the government’s spending.

That’s according to Rabobank, which said in a report this week that India should avoid repeating the mistakes of the 1980s, when the central bank’s monetization of government debt led to a spike in money supply and inflation.

Rabobank estimates that inflation could surge to an average of 12% in 2021 if the RBI was to finance a second stimulus package of $270 billion, a similar amount to what was announced in the first spending plan earlier this year. The rupee could plunge 16% against the dollar from 2020 levels and almost 25% from 2019 under that scenario.

The RBI’s mandate is to keep inflation within a band of 2%-6%.

Public finances are under strain as tax collection slumps, with pressure growing on the RBI to directly fund the spending needed by the government to prop up the economy during the coronavirus pandemic. The fiscal deficit is set to widen this year to 7% of gross domestic product -- double the government’s target -- a Bloomberg survey of economists shows.

“Fast-rising inflation in combination with a freefall of the currency does not bode well for economic performance of countries,” the Rabobank analysts, led by Michael Every, wrote in the report. Modern Monetary Theory -- which proposes governments spend their way out of a crisis and print money to pay for it -- would be “more damaging to the Indian economy than any short-term prosperity it brings,” they wrote.

India’s Fiscal Responsibility and and Budget Management Act prevents the RBI from buying bonds directly from the government in the primary market, but the law provides an escape clause in the event of the country facing a national calamity or a severe slowdown.

Source:- economictimes.com

Get Sample Now

Which service(s) are you interested in?
 Export Data
 Import Data
 Both
 Buyers
 Suppliers
 Both
OR
 Exim Help
+


What is New?

Date: 30-04-2025
Notification No. 26/2025-Customs
Seeks to rescind Notification No. 04/2025-Customs dated the 1st February, 2025

Date: 30-04-2025
Notification No. 27/2025-Customs
Seeks to amend Second Schedule to the Customs Tariff Act, to align it with changes made in the First Schedule to the Customs Tariff Act vide Finance Act, 2025.

Date: 30-04-2025
Notification No. 28/2025-Customs
Seeks to amend Notification no. 27/2011-customs dated 1 st March, 2011 and Notification No. 22/2024-Customs, dated 2 nd April, 2024 to align them with the changes made in the Second Schedule to the Customs Tariff Act.

Date: 30-04-2025
Notification No. 02/2025-Customs (CVD)
Seeks to amend Notification No. 05/2024-Customs (CVD) dated the 11th September, 2024 so as to align with changes made vide Finance Act, 2025

Date: 30-04-2025
Notification No. 33/2025-CUSTOMS (N.T.)
Fixation of Tariff Value of Edible Oils, Brass Scrap, Areca Nut, Gold and Silver- Reg

Date: 28-04-2025
Notification No. 24/2025-Customs
Seeks to amend List 34A and 34B of the Notification No. 50/2017-Customs dated 30.06.2017

Date: 24-04-2025
Notification No.31/2025-Customs (N.T.)
Goods Imported (Conditions of Transshipment) Regulations, 2025

Date: 23-04-2025
Notification No. 28/2025-CUSTOMS (N.T.)
Fixation of Tariff Value of Edible Oils, Brass Scrap, Areca Nut, Gold and Silver- Reg.

Date: 17-04-2025
Notification No. 26/2025 – Customs (N.T.)
Amendment to Notification No. 77/2023-Customs (N.T.) dated 20.10.2023 - Revision of rate of duty drawback of Gold jewellery and silver jewellery/articles

Date: 15-04-2025
Notification No. 24/2025-CUSTOMS (N.T.)
Fixation of Tariff Value of Edible Oils, Brass Scrap, Areca Nut, Gold and Silver- Reg.



Exim Guru Copyright © 1999-2025 Exim Guru. All Rights Reserved.
The information presented on the site is believed to be accurate. However, InfodriveIndia takes no legal responsibilities for the validity of the information.
Please read our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy before you use this Export Import Data Directory.

EximGuru.com

C/o InfodriveIndia Pvt Ltd
F-19, Pocket F, Okhla Phase-I
Okhla Industrial Area
New Delhi - 110020, India
Phone : 011 - 40703001