Wait...
Search Global Export Import Trade Data
Recent Searches: No Recent Searches

Trade war uncertainty could cost global economy $585 billion.


Date: 20-08-2019
Subject: Trade war uncertainty could cost global economy $585 billion
President Donald Trump’s tariffs on Chinese imports are getting a lot of blame for slowing the global economy, but it’s his Twitter habit that could be even more harmful. 

According to a report by Bloomberg Economics’ Dan Hanson, Jamie Rush and Tom Orlik, uncertainty over trade could lower world gross domestic product by 0.6% in 2021, relative to a scenario with no trade war. That’s double the direct impact of the tariffs themselves & the equivalent of $585 billion off the International Monetary Fund’s estimated world GDP of $97 trillion in 2021. 

China would be hit harder by the uncertainty factor, with its GDP lower by 1% compared with a 0.6% chunk taken out of America’s economic output, the analysis showed. 

“The tweet is mightier than the tariff,” the Bloomberg economists wrote in their report. 

The U.S. president’s social media posts on trade, many of which are about China, sometimes appear several times a day and other times not at all. His contradictory takes on the progress of negotiations with Beijing send a chill through businesses that are making decisions about investing and hiring. 

A survey released last week by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York found a growing conviction among businesses that tariffs were hitting their bottom line. 

The Fed responded to economic headwinds with a rate cut of 0.25% last month. The Bloomberg Economics report said that while monetary policy can be used to mitigate uncertainty shocks, it cannot prevent the damage entirely. If central banks respond to demand weakness, world GDP will be 0.3% lower in 2021 than it would be in a no-trade-war scenario. 

Source: economictimes.indiatimes.com

Get Sample Now

Which service(s) are you interested in?
 Export Data
 Import Data
 Both
 Buyers
 Suppliers
 Both
OR
 Exim Help
+


What is New?

Date: 16-09-2021
Notification No.74/2021 - Customs (N.T.)
Exchange rates Notification No.74/2021-Cus (NT) dated 16.9.2021

Date: 16-09-2021
Notification No: 26/2015-2020
Last Date for Submitting applications for Scrip based FTP Schemes and validity period of Duty Credit Scrips

Date: 16-09-2021
Notification No. 27/2015-2020 – DGFT
Amendment of policy condition no.5 of Chapter 27 of ITC (HS), 2017, Schedule - I (Import Policy).

Date: 15-09-2021
Notification No. 73/2021-CUSTOMS (N.T.)
Fixation of Tariff Value of Edible Oils, Brass Scrap, Areca Nut, Gold and Silver- Reg.

Date: 14-09-2021
Notification No. 50/2021-Customs (ADD)
Seeks to amend Notification No. 54/2017 -Customs(ADD) dated 17.11.2017 regarding levy of anti-dumping duty on Certain Rubber Chemicals to amend the name of exporter from "Solutia Europe SPRL/BVBA, Belgium” to “Solutia Europe BV”.

Date: 13-09-2021
NOTIFICATION No. 72/2021-Customs (N.T.)
Amendment in the Notification No. 61/94-Cus. (N.T.), dated 21-11-1994

Date: 13-09-2021
Notification No. 25/2015-2020 – DGFT
Clarification on last date of import in continuation of Notification No. 20/2015-20 dated 24.08.2021.

Date: 10-09-2021
Notification No. 42/2021-Customs
Seeks to amend the notification No. 50/ 2017 -Customs dated 30.06.2017 and notification No. dated 11/2021 dated 01.02.2021 in order to reduce and rationalise the import duties on Palm, Sunflower and Soya-bean oils

Date: 10-09-2021
Notification No. 43/2021- Customs
Seeks to rescind the notification No. 34/2021- Customs dated 29.06.2021.

Date: 10-09-2021
Instruction No.20/2021-Customs
Easing availability of containers for exporters



Exim Guru Copyright © 1999-2021 Exim Guru. All Rights Reserved.
The information presented on the site is believed to be accurate. However, InfodriveIndia takes no legal responsibilities for the validity of the information.
Please read our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy before you use this Export Import Data Directory.

EximGuru.com

C/o InfodriveIndia Pvt Ltd
F-19, Pocket F, Okhla Phase-I
Okhla Industrial Area
New Delhi - 110020, India
Phone : 011 - 40703001