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Sterling falls on election uncertainty, traders eye EU meeting on Friday.

Date: 25-10-2019
Subject: Sterling falls on election uncertainty, traders eye EU meeting on Friday
TOKYO: The British pound fell on Friday versus the dollar and the euro after Prime Minister Boris Johnson's call for an election cast yet more uncertainty over Britain's divorce from the European Union.

Sentiment for sterling NSE -0.33 % is likely to remain fragile ahead of a meeting later on Friday where European Union officials may decide how long they will extend Britain's deadline to leave the EU beyond the current date of Oct. 31.

At this stage, an election looks unlikely because the main opposition Labour Party has withheld its support and other opposition parties have rejected the offer.

However, the twists and turns of the Brexit process have proved too complex to predict, which is likely to discourage some investors from taking on excessive risk before the EU agrees a new deadline for the UK's departure from the bloc.

"We're constructive on sterling in the mid-term, because we don't see a high chance for a general election," said Osamu Takashima, head of G10 FX strategy at Citigroup Global Markets Japan in Tokyo.

"My personal concern is once political uncertainty lifts, people will focus more on the UK's economy, which is weakening. This could be a negative for sterling."

The pound fell 0.14 per cent to $1.2841 in Asia on Friday. For the week, sterling was on course for a 1.18 per cent decline versus the greenback, its biggest weekly decline since Sept. 27.

Sterling fell 0.1 per cent to 86.49 pence per euro, on course for a 0.45 per cent weekly decline.

Opposition Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn said he would wait to see what the EU decides on a Brexit delay before deciding on a general election.

However, Corbyn also repeated he could only back an election when the risk of Johnson taking Britain out of the EU without a deal to smooth the transition was off the table.

The euro held steady at $1.1103 in Asia on Friday, on course for a 0.62 per cent weekly decline.

The Ifo economic institute's closely-watched measure of German business sentiment due later on Friday is expected to weaken slightly in October, highlighting fears that Europe's largest economy is slipping into recession due to the US-China trade war and Brexit.

The European Central Bank left monetary policy unchanged on Thursday after unveiling a big stimulus package last month, but there are concerns the ECB's firepower has largely been spent.

The dollar index against a basket of six major currencies was little changed at 97.688 but up 0.42 per cent on the week. The US currency held steady at 108.61 yen, on course for a 0.18 per cent weekly advance.

The focus shifts next week to a US Federal Reserve meeting ending Oct. 30 and a Bank of Japan meeting ending Oct. 31.

The Fed is expected to cut interest rates for a third time this year, but fixed income analysts say this is largely priced into the market.

The BOJ is leaning toward keeping policy on hold next week, but the decision is a close call as policymakers struggle with the fallout from the US-China trade war.

Source: economictimes.indiatimes.com

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